Of greatest significance, the PLA has developed ballistic and cruise missiles that threaten forward Given the importance of airpower in America's recent wars, it is not surprising that China has sought ways of neutralizing U.S. Nevertheless, China’s improved performance could raise costs, lengthen the conflict, and increase risks to the United States.įarther from Mainland China Spratly Islands Scenario defensive goals could be achieved by holding the advantage in only a few areas. To prevail in either of the scenarios below, China’s offensive goals would require it to hold advantages in nearly all operational categories simultaneously. The chart below collects the scorecards for each evaluated operational area. Advantage means that one side is able to achieve its primary objectives in an operationally relevant time period while the other side would have trouble in doing so. and Chinese forces in diverse types of conflict, at varying distances from the Chinese mainland, at different points in time from 1996 to 2017. and Chinese military capabilities in ten operational areas, and presents a "scorecard" for each.Įach scorecard assesses the relative advantage or disadvantage of U.S. To advance the public debate, RAND used open, unclassified sources to compile The U.S.-China Military Scorecard: Forces, Geography, and the Evolving Balance of Power. Although China continues to lag the United States in terms of aggregate military hardware and operational skills, it has improved its relative capabilities in many critical areas. Over the past two decades, China's People's Liberation Army has transformed itself from a large but antiquated force into a capable, modern military.
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